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ThawPath: a heated catch basin for heat pump defrost ice

A ground-level basin that sits under a heat pump's existing stand, catches the meltwater from winter defrost cycles, and carries it away through a heated outlet so it never freezes into a mound on the patio, the walkway, or against the house.

7.0Signal
score / 10
Signal: Pursue with changes

The Signal in 30 seconds

This is a real product with a real buyer, and you are unusually well placed to sell it. Cold-climate heat pumps melt their own frost many times a day, that water refreezes under the unit, and owners end up out there with a hammer and chisel.1 I could not find a purpose-built fix sold in the US, but a Swedish company already holds US patents on the most obvious version,2 so the shape of your product matters as much as the idea. Pursue it with three changes: design clear of those patents before you spend a dollar on tooling, sell through installers before you sell to homeowners, and launch on heat cable that is already safety-listed so you are not waiting on certification.3 Your real deadline is the first hard freeze.

What I heard

You are the lead installer at a heat pump company in coastal Maine, and you have spent nine years mounting cold-climate outdoor units on the sides of houses. Every winter the same callback comes in: the outdoor unit has built an ice mound on the patio, the walkway, or up against the foundation, and the homeowner wants it gone.

You have already built a fix by hand. It is a sloped plastic basin that sits on the ground under the unit's existing stand, never touching the unit itself. It catches the defrost meltwater and sends it down a short outlet channel wrapped in self-regulating heat cable (cable that turns its own output up in the cold and down as it warms), out to a gravel drywell or open ground where it can soak away. Six of your customers ran hand-built versions last winter. You want to turn it into a product called ThawPath, sold to installers first and homeowners second.

You have about $12,000 in savings, you are keeping your day job, and you can give this evenings and weekends. You think it could sell for $199 to $249 but you do not yet know what one costs to make. Your biggest fear is putting your savings into molds and then watching a big HVAC accessory company copy it the moment it starts selling.

The scorecard

DimensionScoreReasoning
Real pain7Every cold-climate winter, defrost water refreezes into mounds on patios, walkways, and foundations, and owners chip it out by hand.1 Recurring and visible, though rarely an emergency.
Who pays8Installers who own the callback, and homeowners who just spent thousands on a system and want it to work and look right.
Willingness to pay7People already pay $262 for a stand to raise the unit,4 over $1,000 for a factory pan heater on large units,5 and a few hundred dollars for heated trays in Europe.67 Some will build their own instead.
Reachability8Installers are a countable group that gathers in known places: Massachusetts alone lists more than 1,500 HVAC contractors in its heat pump program network,8 and you already know dozens in Maine.
Differentiation6I found no purpose-built heated ground basin sold in the US, but the concept exists in Europe,9 and a basin is easy to copy once it proves it sells.
Feasibility for you6AI now does much of the early work cheaply: turning your hand-built version into CAD drawings, testing slope and size options, drafting install guides and product listings, and running first-pass patent research. What AI does not hand you is the expensive part: forming tooling, cold-weather field testing, electrical safety listing if you ever build your own heater, product liability insurance, and a place on supply-house shelves. Doable on your budget only if you stage it.
Timing & durability7The installed base keeps growing and state programs keep pushing, but new US heat pump shipments fell 11.6% in 2025 and the federal homeowner tax credit ended with that year.1011
Economics7A formed plastic basin plus bought-in heat cable can carry a healthy margin at a $199 retail price, but it is a one-time sale with seasonal cash flow.
Founder-fit8Nine years installing these exact units, six working field installs, and a network of installers who trust you. This is the strongest thing in the file.
Market size & headroom6A real but regional, seasonal niche: heat pump homes in places with hard winters. It grows through distribution, not through a national consumer market.

Score: 7.0 of 10. Verdict: Pursue with changes. The buyer, the pain, and your fit are all solid. The changes are about protection and sequence: stay clear of the existing patents, sell to installers first, and let speed and relationships do the work a patent cannot.

Who would actually pay

Your first and best buyer is the installer: the HVAC contractor who puts cold-climate heat pumps on houses and gets the phone call when ice piles up underneath. For them ThawPath is a line item on the install invoice that prevents a callback, the same way they already sell stands, pads, and line-set covers. They are a countable, organized group. Massachusetts reports more than 1,500 HVAC contractors in its heat pump installer network,8 and Maine's community colleges have trained 558 heat pump installers.12 You do not need all of them. You need twenty who trust you.

Your second buyer is the homeowner who already has a unit and already has the ice. This is the retrofit market, and it is large where you live: Maine passed its goal of 100,000 new heat pumps two years early and set a target of 175,000 more by 2027,12 and Massachusetts has supported heat pumps in 75,172 homes and businesses since 2019.8 Every one of those units in a spot where water cannot drain is a potential customer every single winter.

Cold-climate HVAC installersUtility program contractor networksSupply-house countersGreen-building forumsHomeowners with ice under a unit

Treat price as provisional until real buyers pay. Here is the ladder I would test, and what each rung competes against:

OfferPriceWhat it competes against
Passive basin (no heat)$89 to $99Generic stainless drip trays sold online at $82.57 to $127.61 that do nothing about freezing,13 or a sheet of plastic on the ground.
Heated basin, homeowner retail$179 to $229A do-it-yourself pan plus a $34.12 five-foot heat cable kit and a weekend,3 or raising the unit on a $262.29 stand.4
Installed add-on on the invoice$299 to $349A winter service call to chip ice, or a callback the installer eats for free.
Wholesale to installers$120 to $140The installer's own time building something improvised on site.

Suggested test: $199 retail for the heated basin and $130 wholesale to installers. That leaves the installer a clear markup on the invoice and gives you a real number to learn from. Every price here is a starting point until you have sold a few dozen.

The demand signal

Direction: a growing installed base, with softer new sales. US heat pump shipments were 3.64 million in 2025, down 11.6% from 4.12 million the year before, with the industry pointing to the refrigerant changeover, tariffs, interest rates, and the end of federal tax credits.10 Even so, heat pumps still outshipped gas furnaces (3.25 million) for the year.10 For you the key number is the installed base, not new sales: every unit already on a wall in a cold climate makes defrost water every winter it runs. Climaco, the Swedish tray maker, says an air-to-air heat pump produces 20 to 30 liters of water a day in the cold months.9

The factory answer only goes so far. A base pan heater, as one green-building writer describes it, exists "to prevent meltwater that runs off the outdoor coil during the defrost cycle from refreezing before it can drain."14 It keeps the unit's own drain holes clear. It does nothing about where the water goes after it hits the ground. That gap shows up in owners' own words:

"I ended up using a chisel and hammer to remove a bunch of it... the ice berg was getting too big."1 (a heat pump owner on a green-building forum, October 2025)

"The one we installed has had the same issue for the past 6 years, the homeowners have learned to live with it"1 (a professional replying in the same thread, about a unit they installed)

"The water froze before it could completely drain and pushed the plumbing fittings apart."15 (a heat pump owner in a very-cold-climate thread on the same forum)

"the units drip condensation which freezes on the walkway. During very cold weather, the ice builds up and turns into a mini glacier!"16 (a mini-split owner on a rural landowners' forum)

"The homeowner has accepted that he's going to have ice every year, though he doesn't like it."15 (another poster on the same forum, describing a homeowner's unit)

Notice the pattern. People have tried plastic sheets, gravel pits, drain pipes, and heated RV hoses, and the pros have mostly told owners to live with it.1 That is exactly the kind of problem a simple, purpose-built product can own, provided it actually solves the refreezing, which is where your heated outlet earns its keep.

The 3 things most likely to slow this down

  1. The patent fence. Climaco Holding AB holds two active US patents, US10677479B2 and US10941947B2, on a drainage tray that sits between the heat pump and its support, with Google Patents listing expirations in 2037 and 2036.2 Your design puts the basin on the ground under the stand, which is outside that description on its face. The catch is that under-stand trays are old news in Europe (Climaco itself contrasts its product with "other drainage solutions where the tray is suspended under the entire stand"9), so any patent you get will likely be narrow. Plan for protection to come from speed, installer relationships, and brand, with a patent as a bonus.
  2. Electricity, water, and liability. You are putting a heated device outdoors, next to water, next to a house. Launching on a plug-in heat cable kit that is already UL listed and CSA certified (such kits sell for about $34 retail)3 means the basin itself carries no current and you are not certifying your own heater in year one. You still need product liability insurance, clear install limits, and a firm rule that ThawPath never attaches to the unit: New York's Clean Heat program warns that an unapproved attachment can void a heat pump's warranty.17
  3. Seasonality and cash. This sells in a narrow window. If your tooling lands in January you have lost a year, and new heat pump sales dipped in 2025.10 Keep the first run small and cheap: heavy-gauge thermoforming tooling typically costs about 10% to 15% of comparable injection mold tooling,18 which is the difference between spending part of your $12,000 and needing an investor.

Closest competitors & the gap

OptionPriceThe gap
Climaco Pancake 1 kit (Sweden): heated tray between unit and mount, with drain hose and heat cable2,496 to 5,368 Swedish kronor6The closest real product and it is patented,2 but its reseller page lists no US or Canadian seller.9
Generic stainless drip trays (online marketplaces)$82.57 to $127.6113Unheated. The water still refreezes at the outlet, which is the actual problem.
Factory base pan heater (for example Mitsubishi PAC-SJ20BH-E for large multi-zone units)$1,116.005Keeps the unit's own drain holes open. Does nothing about ice on the ground.
DiversiTech QSMS1201 12-inch mini-split stand$262.294Raises the unit above the ice so it does not block the drain holes. The ice still forms.
Do it yourself: self-regulating heat cable kit plus a homemade pan$34.12 for a 5-foot kit3Cheap parts, but it takes skill and a weekend. One homeowner in Belgium built his own tray after finding manufacturer trays "around 400 euros. Kind of expensive."7
Pool heat pump drip tray heater kit (UK)£139.9619Heats the tray inside a pool heat pump. A different market, but proof people pay to stop drip-tray ice.

The gap is clear: nobody I could find sells a purpose-built, US-available, ground-level basin that catches defrost water and carries it away without refreezing. Installers improvise, homeowners chip ice, and the one company that has productized this for Europe has not shown up here.9 Your opening is to become the default answer installers reach for before that changes.

Can you own it? (patent, trademark, domain)

PatentYellowAdjacent art exists and one company holds the obvious design. Climaco Holding AB's US10677479B2 and US10941947B2 claim a drainage tray placed between the heat pump and its support;2 stay under the stand and never between. Other relevant art: US11333395B2 (Steven Winter Associates, a sensor-controlled system that drains cold-climate heat pump condensate into a building's old heating pipes), EP2636966A1 (VECAM-CO, a heated condensate collecting tank for outdoor units, withdrawn in Europe but still prior art), and US2955439A (General Electric, 1960, heat pump drain pan heating, long expired and free to use).20 Your novelty will likely sit in the specific combination of a freestanding basin and a heated outlet that carries water to a drain point. A provisional application costs $65 to $130 in USPTO fees for a micro or small entity and buys you a year of "patent pending."2122
TrademarkYellowNo mark was found for THAWPATH itself. But THAW is a live registered mark in class 11, the class for heating apparatus, owned by Alliance Sports Group, L.P. (registrations 7314910, 6604164, and 7392015, plus 7743935 in classes 11 and 9), the company behind THAW rechargeable hand warmers and heated seat cushions.23 A heating product named Thaw-anything is where a conflict could come up. If you want a cleaner lane, MELTMOAT came back with no marks found and its .com is open.
DomainGreenthawpath.com, getthawpath.com, and thawpathtray.com all came back available. Register thawpath.com now; it costs little and it will not stay open once you start posting.

These are preliminary, informational searches using public tools. They are not legal patent or trademark searches, a freedom-to-operate opinion, or clearance, and domain status can change. Consult a patent or trademark attorney before filing or building.

Where you can claim your name

"thawpath" is open on 9 of the 10 networks. Reddit could not be confirmed automatically.

YouTubeGreenOpen.
FacebookGreenOpen.
InstagramGreenOpen.
TikTokGreenOpen.
SnapchatGreenOpen.
XGreenOpen.
RedditYellowNot confirmed. Reddit blocked the automated lookup, so check reddit.com/user/thawpath by hand before you commit.
PinterestGreenOpen.
LinkedInGreenOpen (Company Page name).
ThreadsGreenOpen. Threads names come from Instagram, where this name is open.

These are point-in-time availability checks on public profile pages, not a trademark or brand clearance, and a handle open today can be taken tomorrow. Claim the ones you want promptly if you move forward.

How you'd make money

  1. Installer wholesale (the core). Sell to installers at around $130 and let them put it on the invoice at $299 to $349 installed. Each installer who adopts it becomes a repeat buyer every season, and your cost to reach the twentieth installer is a phone call and a demo in their parking lot.
  2. Direct retrofit to homeowners. A heated basin at $199 sold from thawpath.com to people who already have the ice. Photos of a clean patio next to a chiseled one do the selling. Route installs to your installer customers so the channel sees you as help, not competition.
  3. Sizes and add-ons. A larger basin for big multi-zone units, a two-unit basin, extension outlet kits for longer runs to a drain point, and replacement cable. Small tickets, but they lift the average order.
  4. Later, license or private label. Once ThawPath has a winter of sales and a list of installers behind it, an HVAC accessory maker that already sells stands becomes a potential partner instead of a threat. Your fear of being copied is also the shape of your best exit.

If 20 installers each put ThawPath on 30 jobs this winter at $130 wholesale, that is $78,000 in revenue from one region before a single direct sale. The number that decides whether that is a good business is your landed cost per unit, so get real quotes before you promise anyone a price.

The brutal truth

You paid for candor, so here it is: the idea is not the hard part, and it is not yours alone. A Swedish company patented the obvious version years ago,2 Europeans have been hanging trays under heat pump stands for a long time,9 and any accessory maker with a forming line could build a basin like yours in a season once they see it sell. If you spend your $12,000 chasing a bulletproof patent or perfecting a mold before a single installer has paid you, you will lose the race you are most worried about. But look at what you actually have: nine years of callbacks, six working installs through a real Maine winter, and the phone numbers of the people who put these units on houses. A big company cannot copy that quickly, and it is worth more than any drawing. Sell it to installers this winter, file a narrow provisional on what is truly yours, and let speed and relationships be your moat. Do that, and being copied later turns into a licensing conversation instead of a loss.

Your next 30 days

  1. Days 1 to 3: Document your proof. Photograph and write up the six installs from last winter: before, after, and what failed. Ask those homeowners for a two-line quote and permission to use their photos. This is your sales kit.
  2. Days 4 to 7: Draw the fence. Book one hour with a patent attorney. Bring the Climaco patents and your design. Lock one rule: the basin sits on the ground, under the stand, never between the unit and its support. Write down, in plain words, what is new about your outlet and drain path, then file a provisional ($65 to $130 in USPTO fees)21 once the attorney agrees it is worth filing.
  3. Days 8 to 14: Get real costs. Use AI and a free CAD tool to turn your hand-built basin into drawings for two sizes. Send them to three thermoformers and ask for tooling and per-unit prices at 250 and 1,000 units. Price the heat cable in bulk. Now you know your landed cost.
  4. Days 15 to 24: Pre-sell to installers. Show the kit to 15 installers you know. Offer a founding price of $130 per unit for this winter with a deposit. Aim for five installers committing to at least 40 units between them.
  5. Days 25 to 30: Open the homeowner door. Put up a one-page site on thawpath.com with the before-and-after photos and a waitlist. Share the problem, not the pitch, on green-building and heat pump forums. Count the sign-ups.
The one metric to watch
Installer deposits before the first hard freeze
Five installers putting money down for 40 or more units says the channel is real and tells you how big a first run to form. Zero deposits after 15 conversations means the price, the pitch, or the product needs work before you spend on tooling.

Ideas are worth taking seriously, and so are the people who have the nerve to test them. Thank you for trusting me with yours. Whatever you decide from here, decide it with your eyes open, and know that clarity, even hard clarity, is a gift you just gave yourself.

Marty McCrea, founder of Every Big Idea
Marty McCrea signature
Marty McCrea
Founder, Every Big Idea
Sample Signal from Every Big Idea, showing the full format and depth every customer receives. The idea and founder are illustrative; the research, patents, prices, and quotes are real and linked in Sources. Preliminary, informational analysis. Not legal, financial, or investment advice.
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Sources

  1. Green Building Advisor, "Heat pump defrost water management, ice!" (Q&A thread, October 2025): greenbuildingadvisor.com Back to textBack to page
  2. Google Patents, US10677479B2: patents.google.com; US10941947B2: patents.google.com; EP3350520B1: patents.google.com Back to textBack to page
  3. Walmart, Easy Heat 10805 self-regulating pipe heating cable kit: walmart.com Back to textBack to page
  4. SupplyHouse, DiversiTech QSMS1201 mini-split stand: supplyhouse.com Back to textBack to page
  5. HVACDirect, Mitsubishi PAC-SJ20BH-E base pan heater: hvacdirect.com Back to textBack to page
  6. Luftmiljöbutiken, Pancake 1 drainage kit pricing: luftmiljobutiken.se Back to textBack to page
  7. Thomas Langewouters, "DIY heatpump drip tray," September 2024: thouters.be Back to textBack to page
  8. Mass Save, record heat pump installations and installer network: masssave.com Back to textBack to page
  9. Climaco, "Why a drainage tray?": climaco.com; Pancake series: climaco.com; distributors: climaco.com Back to textBack to page
  10. ACHR News, "Heat Pump, A/C Shipments See 20% Declines in 2025," February 25, 2026: achrnews.com Back to textBack to page
  11. IRS, FAQs on changes to section 25C under Public Law 119-21: irs.gov Back to textBack to page
  12. Office of Governor Janet T. Mills, Maine heat pump goal and installer training: maine.gov Back to textBack to page
  13. Walmart, stainless steel condensate drip tray: walmart.com Back to textBack to page
  14. Green Building Advisor, "Base Pan Heaters for Heat Pumps," January 31, 2025: greenbuildingadvisor.com Back to textBack to page
  15. Green Building Advisor, "Ice formation with air-source heat pump in cold climate" (Q&A thread): greenbuildingadvisor.com Back to textBack to page
  16. TractorByNet, "Mini split questions?" forum thread: tractorbynet.com Back to textBack to page
  17. NYS Clean Heat, snow deflector guidance for heat pumps: cleanheatconnect.ny.gov Back to textBack to page
  18. Plastic Components, Inc., "Tooling Options for Thermoforming": plasticcomponentsinc.com Back to textBack to page
  19. HeatPumps4Pools, heat pump drip tray heater kit: heatpumps4pools.com Back to textBack to page
  20. Google Patents, US11333395B2: patents.google.com; EP2636966A1: patents.google.com; US2955439A: patents.google.com Back to textBack to page
  21. USPTO fee schedule (provisional application filing fee): uspto.gov Back to textBack to page
  22. USPTO, provisional application for patent: uspto.gov Back to textBack to page
  23. THAW brand (Alliance Consumer Group): thaw.acgbrands.com Back to textBack to page